May 25, 2018

“Henry Kissinger Warns That A.I. Could End Human Enlightenment” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 25th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 26 HENRY KISSINGER WARNS THAT A.I. COULD END HUMAN ENLIGHTENMENT What’s the likelihood he’s correct? Henry Kissinger recently wrote a thoughtful piece about artificial intelligence in @TheAtlantic. The article offers a dark view, suggesting that we are completely unprepared for the impact AI […]

May 18, 2018

“Group Decision Disaster (Squared)” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 18th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 25 GROUP DECISION DISASTER (SQUARED): Slow process (rarely meeting) + slow transmission of information (majority-rule decisions)  @QuartzAtWork published a great piece last week, “How to design teams to improve almost any decision-making process” by Oliver Staley (@OStaley). The piece focuses on three elements […]

May 11, 2018

“David Hasselhoff may have been ahead of the curve on self-driving cars” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 11th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 24 DAVID HASSELHOFF MAY HAVE BEEN AHEAD OF THE CURVE ON SELF-DRIVING CARS What’s next: beachwear that helps you run in slow-motion? Last Friday, May 4, an automobile accident in Chandler, Arizona, became international news. Thankfully, the smashed-up cars made […]

May 04, 2018

“The NFL Draft” – Annie’s Newsletter, May 4th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 23 THE NFL DRAFT A grand decision experiment, wrapped in a pageant Last week, the NFL drafted newly eligible players for the 2018 season. You could argue that the NFL Draft is the most maddening sporting event: no one will […]

April 27, 2018

“Epistemic Spillovers” – Annie’s Newsletter, April 27th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 22 EPISTEMIC SPILLOVERS “I don’t like that plumber’s bumper sticker. I’m sure I can install my own toilet.” Last week, I wrote about the difference between epistemic bubbles (lack of exposure to information from opposing-view sources) and echo chambers (identification […]

April 23, 2018

Self-Driven to Distraction – Smerconish.com

Self-Driven to Distraction – Annie Duke for Smerconish.com In late March, there were two tragic auto accidents, five days apart, both involving autonomous cars. In Tempe, Arizona, on the night of March 18, an autonomous Uber vehicle hit and killed a pedestrian pushing a bicycle outside the crossing lines. During the morning of March 23, […]

April 20, 2018

“Madeline Albright: Diplomacy is not like Chess” – Annie’s Newsletter, April 20th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 21 MADELEINE ALBRIGHT:  DIPLOMACY IS NOT LIKE CHESS Skill-based decision making, but with unpredictability like billiards (and poker) In a recent interview, former Secretary of State @Madeleine Albright commented on how people who compare international relations to chess may be overlooking the […]

April 13, 2018

Bad News in the Event of a Zombie Apocalypse – Annie’s Newsletter, April 13th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 20 BAD NEWS IN THE EVENT OF A ZOMBIE APOCALYPSE: Overconfidence by inexperienced doctors diagnosing zombie infections — When they tell you “overconfidence is an issue everywhere,” they mean EVERYWHERE Experience can certainly help us improve our competence. And that’s a […]

April 10, 2018

“Turkeys Can Fly” – Annie’s Newsletter, April 6th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 19  TURKEYS CAN FLY! Are turkeys the suited connectors of the animal world? A reader calibrates my belief with this YouTube video (If there’s a WKRP in Cincinnati reboot in development, take note!) In Thinking in Bets, I used a famous WKRP in Cincinnati episode […]

March 30, 2018

“Rebellion Against The Bots” – Annie’s Newsletter, March 30th, 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke’s Weekly E-Newsletter and Updates Here Newsletter Volume 1, Number 18   REBELLION AGAINST THE BOTS! A new study exposed Twitter users to opposing-view bots: It didn’t end well Left to our own devices, we aren’t likely to seek out views that oppose our core beliefs.”An opposing view? No thanks. […]