January 12, 2018

The Local Weather Report – Annie’s Newsletter, Jan 12th 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke Updates Here. THE LOCAL WEATHER REPORT … which is also, occasionally, a bipartisan alternative to science There was a lot of eye-rolling when President Trump tweeted this in December: Many responses to the tweet, like this piece from The New York Times, pointed out the difference between weather and climate. No matter whether you […]

January 05, 2018

The Tax Plan – Annie’s Weekly Newsletter, Jan 5th 2018

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke Updates Here. THE TAX PLAN: WHICH PARTY HAS THE WINNING NARRATIVE? Dueling messages and the “Ultimatum Game” One of the biggest year-end news stories was the passage of the GOP tax plan. From a decision-making standpoint, I listened to the initial narrative adopted by each party. Each side has […]

December 29, 2017

International Statistic of the Year – Annie’s Newsletter, Dec. 29, 2017

Sign Up to Receive Annie Duke Updates Here.   INTERNATIONAL STATISTIC OF THE YEAR Americans killed by jihadists, armed toddlers, and lightning but no word on shark attacks  The Royal Statistical Society (@RoyalStatSoc) made this its international statistic of the year: I’m guessing a lot of people are surprised by both the infrequency of death by […]

December 18, 2017

The ’12 Items or Less’ Lab – Annie’s Newsletter, Dec 18th 2017

THE “12 ITEMS OR LESS” LAB Paying a professional line-waiter vs. paying more for an item I admit it: if a story title contains the phrase “wait in line,” I’m more likely to click on it. So, when I came across this Elite Daily (@elitedaily) video, “Meet the dudes that will wait in line for you,” […]

December 11, 2017

A Fresh Perspective on Free Speech – Annie’s Newsletter, Dec 11th 2017

Decision strategy and its components: human behavior, science, uncertainty, failure, collaboration, dissent, exchange of ideas, probabilistic thinking, and anything I think might attract the attention of people interested in those subjects. View this email in your browser   A Fresh Perspective on Free Speech …from 2,500 years ago  TheAtlantic.com (@theatlantic) recently published an article that gives color […]

December 11, 2017

Prophetic Plot, Prescient Prompt – Annie’s Newsletter, Dec 11, 2017

Decision strategy and its components: human behavior, science, uncertainty, failure, collaboration, dissent, exchange of ideas, probabilistic thinking, and anything I think might attract the attention of people interested in those subjects. View this email in your browser   PROPHETIC PLOT, PRESCIENT PROMPT Plot by Ray Bradbury, prompt by Ryan Holiday  A must read this week from […]

October 05, 2017

Annie Duke: A Lesson on Happiness – and Learning – from Olympic Legend Eric Heiden

I recently visited the Lake Placid Olympic Museum and saw a quote from Eric Heiden, arguably the greatest athlete in the history of the Winter Olympics: My goal was always to cross that finish line with nothing left, and if I did that, I really didn’t care what anybody else had done. I had been […]

September 28, 2017

Annie Duke: Hurricane Maria and Puerto Rico: Will We Realize “They” are “Us”?

The situation in Puerto Rico after Hurricane Maria has been dire. The lack of electricity has made it difficult to broadcast all the details, but what we already know is undeniably, horribly bad. BuzzFeedNews correspondent Vera Bergengruen (@verambergen) tweeted on September 26, from a Pentagon source, “Approximately 44% of the population of Puerto Rico is […]

May 03, 2017

WE MAKE OUR OWN REALITY: CONSEQUENCES OF THE RISE OF NICHE MEDIA

I recently read an interesting opinion piece from Tom Nichols about Americans seem to be unable to talk to each other about politics or current events. The title of the MarketWatch.com article, sums up the starting point of his analysis: “Americans are now utterly intolerant of ever being told they’re wrong about almost anything“. Nichols […]

April 28, 2017

Base Instinct: Do Trump’s Poll Numbers Support the Conclusion that his base is holding?

The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll on President Trump’s performance contained one startling takeaway. Most of the numbers were in line with sentiment about Trump before and since he’s become President. His job approval rating is 42%. His ratings on judgment, honesty-trustworthiness, and personality-temperament remain low, in the 38-41% range. (Democrats and Republicans both looked […]